You are here

Sugar Bowl Betting Preview: Will Georgia Rebound vs. Texas After Missing Out on CFP?

Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-10.5)

Tue., January 1, 8:45 p.m. ET

Aliexpress WW

Three things to know before betting on Texas-Georgia:

1. Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm has made all the right strides in his sophomore season, improving in every statistical category. In the SEC, he is second to only Heisman contender Tua Tagovailoa in passer rating (175.81), touchdown passes (27), and completion percentage (68.4). Fromm’s 300-yard, three-touchdown performance against Alabama in the SEC Championship Game was his best outing of the season and led to a cover against the spread. With Fromm and running back D’Andre Swift, Georgia should be able to rack up big gains and points against a Texas defense that ranks 66th in the nation in yards allowed per play (5.68). Over the second half of the season, Georgia has scored 34-plus points against elite SEC defenses like Florida and Kentucky, and had no problem moving the ball against Alabama in the conference championship.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma Betting Preview: Can Sooners Keep Up With the Tide?

2. While the Georgia defense lost some big names from last year’s team, this is still a unit that no one wants to play. After obliterating nearly every defense he faced this year, Tagovailoa completed only 10 of 25 pass attempts in the SEC Championship Game and threw two interceptions, doubling his total for the entire season. Georgia spent much of the day shutting down an offense that had been nearly unstoppable the rest of the season.

If Alabama struggled against Georgia, it will be even tougher for the Longhorns. Texas had some eye-raising struggles against some of the Big 12’s weaker teams. The Longhorns averaged only 23.5 points in games against Baylor and Kansas. Even against Oklahoma’s permissive defense, Texas still failed to put up 30 points in the conference title game. Those sorts of efforts won’t cut it against the physically superior Bulldogs.

3. Under Texas head coach Tom Herman, the Longhorns are 7-2 against the spread when getting points. The Horns were 2-1 ATS as underdogs this year, going 1-1 in two games against Oklahoma and beating a TCU team at home in September that, in retrospect, was severely overrated.

Kirby Smart’s success against the spread, however, is unconditional. Smart has led Georgia to a 19-9 ATS record since taking over before last season. Only six other programs have a better ATS mark. Despite missing the playoff, there are still a lot of smart people that think Georgia is one of the four best teams in college football this season. The Bulldogs believe that, too, and will look to prove it by winning the Sugar Bowl by a commanding margin.

Pick: Georgia -10.5

Confidence Level: Very High (on a scale of Low/Moderate/High/Very High/Extremely High)

RSS Trending Sports News – Stay Updated With Fresh Content

  • La UEFA anuncia los 50 nominados para el XI ideal del año 11th December 2018
    El 2018 está llegando a su fin, y como es costumbre, la UEFA nominó este lunes a los 50 jugadores que optarán al equipo ideal de este año plagado de premiaciones individuales y colectivas.  La Liga española es la que ha que corre con más ventaja, ya que si contamos a Cristiano Ronaldo, ahora jugador de... […]
  • Manchester United determined to sign Lyon midfielder Tanguy N’Dombele ahead of Manchester City 11th December 2018
    Tanguy N’Dombele is wanted by Manchester United and Manchester City (Getty Images) Manchester United are desperate to beat Manchester City to the signing of Lyon midfielder Tanguy N’Dombele, according to reports in France. City submitted a €50 million (£45m) offer for the 21-year-old in the summer transfer window but the bid was rejected by Lyon.... […]
  • Armed Forces Bowl Betting Preview: Houston Will Miss Its Stars Against Army 11th December 2018
    Houston Cougars vs. Army Black Knights (-3) Sat., December 22, 3:30 p.m. ET Three things to know before betting on Houston-Army: 1. Houston’s offense ended the regular season ranked 11th in the country in yards per play (6.77) and points per game (46.4). But facing Army in the Armed Forces Bowl, Houston will be without... […]
  • Elite Defenses Emerging to Give Us Exciting Stylistic Clashes in NFL Playoffs 11th December 2018
    At the 14:11 mark in the second quarter, Sebastian Janikowski chipped in a 37-yard field goal to break a scoreless draw between the Vikings and the Seahawks. While the game featured all the trappings of an offensive boon taking place around the league (both teams have either been funneling collegiate concepts into their system for... […]
  • First Responder Bowl Betting Preview: Boston College Can Run All Over Boise State 11th December 2018
    First Responder Bowl – Boston College Eagles vs. Boise State Broncos (-2.5) Wed., December 26, 1:30 pm ET Three things to know before betting on Boston College-Boise State: 1. Boston College didn’t end its season on a high note, dropping three in a row both straight up and against the spread, including games against Florida... […]
  • Unai Emery wants Arsenal to sign Lyon star Houssem Aouar as Aaron Ramsey replacement 11th December 2018
    The midfielder is attracting interest from Europe’s biggest clubs (Picture: Getty) Arsenal are keen on signing Lyon midfielder Houssem Aouar and manager Unai Emery sees the young Frenchman as an ideal replacement for Aaron Ramsey. The 20-year-old has already scored five goals in Ligue 1 and laid on three assists in the Champions League this... […]
  • Cheez-It Bowl Preview: Cal Defense Should Control Game Against TCU 11th December 2018
    Cheez-It Bowl – TCU Horned Frogs vs. California Golden Bears (-1.0) Wed., December 26, 9:00 pm ET Three things to know before betting on TCU-California: 1. While TCU is 6-3 straight up in its last nine bowl games, the Horned Frogs are just 2-7 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Golden Bears are playing in their... […]
  • Jamie Carragher mocks Gary Neville over his combined Liverpool-Manchester United XI 10th December 2018
    The former right-back named two players who can’t get in Mourinho’s team! (Picture: Getty) Gary Neville was ridiculed by Jamie Carragher for picking both Paul Pogba and Eric Bailly in his combined Liverpool-Manchester United XI – even though they aren’t playing for the Red Devils. The two teams face off at Anfield on Sunday, though... […]
  • Manchester United scout claims club ignored his advice to sign Frenkie de Jong and Matthijs de Ligt 10th December 2018
    Derek Langley claims United missed out on a host of future stars (Picture: Getty) Manchester United could have avoided their current centre-back crisis had club bosses listened to an axed scout who recommended a host of future defensive stars. Jose Mourinho made no secret of his desire to sign a new centre-back over the summer,... […]
  • Brian Cashman Says Yankees Don’t Have Spot for Bryce Harper 10th December 2018
    Cashman said Harper playing first base “isn’t an option” for New York. The Bryce Harper sweepstakes are in full force as the Winter Meetings began in Las Vegas this week, but don’t expect the Yankees to be among the key bidders. Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said New York has six outfielders on Monday, adding... […]

Subscribe to Blog via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 404 other subscribers